kamal

2022-04-08 11:38:30 USD & Yields Bid, Stocks Sink - Fed Hawk Bullard calls for 300-325 bp rate hikes this year. (3.5% year end rate). EUR & JPY pressured (worries over French election & weak over night data respectively).
#Stocks weak but closed flat for the day (NASDAQ -2.5% for the week so far) - Asian shares mixed & also lower for the week (Nikkei -3%). European FUTS higher.
#Yields perked up again, 3-day inversion over - with short-dated 2 & 5-yr rising while 30-yr flatten. OIL fell to new 3-wk lows before recovering and #GOLD ran to resistance before declining.
Today – Canadian Labour Market Report, ECB's Panetta.

Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) #GBPUSD (-0.29%) Spike lower on London open to under 1.3050 new lows this week. Next support 1.30250. MAs aligned lower, MACD signal line & histogram lower & under 0 line, RSI 35 & falling, H1 ATR 0.00098, Daily ATR 0.00825.

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2022-04-07 10:53:34 FED Minute Highlights - "Many" members see "one or more" 50bp rate hikes, agree balance sheet sell-off at $95 bln/mth (may start in May). "Many" also wanted 50 bps hike in March but War in Ukraine delayed that decison.
#Stocks tank (NASADAQ) -2.2% worse performer - Asian shares & European FUTS lower.
Yields perked up again, #OIL fell to 3-week low and #GOLD rotates at key support level.

US imposes new sanctions on Putin's inner circle including his daughters and prevent all US firms from Russian investments, USDRUB back to pre-War levels, but Russian defaults loom.

Today – EZ Retail Sales, US Weekly Claims, ECB Minutes (March), Fed's Bullard & Evans, BoE's Pill.

Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) #EURAUD (+0.51%) Continues to rally off 1.4330 lows this week. Next resistance 1.4600. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram higher & over 0 line, RSI 74, OB but rising, H1 ATR 0.0026, Daily ATR 0.0163.

#HFAnalysis #MarketNews #trading Open / Comment

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2022-04-06 10:43:24 #USD & Treasury yields have been rising. Stock markets have been under pressure, hit by the surge in yields with the tech-heavy index (USA100) plunging -2.26% as selling picked up into the close. The market has priced in a lot of bearish elements, yields shot higher again on hawkish comments from Fed, RBA. Disappointing China PMI reports weighed on both bond and stock market sentiment. #USOil up to $102.48 as West mulls further sanctions against Russia. - Saudi boosted prices by over by $2 per barrel in late March. US coal prices climbed over $100 a ton today for the first time in 13 years after the EU said it is mulling restricting coal imports from Russia. #EURUSD dipped to 1.0883, USDJPY continued to struggle at 124.04, Cable back to 1.3120 now. AUD and NZD also remained supported as yields moved higher.

Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) #USDCHF (+0.37%) At 6-day highs and close to R2 at 0.9331. Next resistance 0.9376. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram higher & over 0 line, RSI 77 & rising. Open / Comment

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2022-03-02 12:23:38 Risk-Off mood returned as stock markets dived & safe havens from USD to US Treasuries rallied. Oil & GOLD markets surged, Brent hit $110 & Gold hit $1950. More Western companies (Apple, Ford & Boeing) pulled investments from Russia & US banned Russian airlines from its airspace. Asian markets moved lower (Nikkei -1.3%). Biden SOU speech warns off-script that Putin "has no idea what's coming".

Today – German Unemployment, EZ CPI, US ADP, BoC Policy Announcement, OPEC+, Ukraine-Russia Meeting (Time TBC), Speeches from Fed's Powell, Bullard & Evans, ECB's Lane, Schnabel, de Guindos & Nagel.

Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) GBPCAD (-0.36%) 6-day collapse from 1.7345 continues, down to 1.6915 now. MAs aligned lower, MACD signal line & histogram below 0 line, RSI 30 & falling, OB zone, H1 ATR 0.139, Daily ATR 0.9450.

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2022-03-01 11:56:14 Risk Off mood cools, with stock markets mixed as USD, Commodities and Treasuries hold their bid. More Western companies pull investments from Russia, Visa & Mastercard block transactions, Monaco and London block more accounts. Oil futures rally, Gold holds up and Yields remain pressured. Overnight Asian markets moved higher. JPY Manu. PMI miss, CNY PMI beat & RBA keeps interest rates unchanged. Ukraine applies for EU membership as 65km convoy of Russian armour heads towards Kyiv.

Today – EU, UK & US PMIs, German CPI & Retail Sales, US ISM Manu. PMI & Construction Spending, Speeches from Fed's Bostic & Mester, ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Saunders & President Biden's State of the Union Address. Earnings Target, AMC, & Salesforce.

Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.33%) The cooling of the risk off mood & RBA helped the pair recover a breach of 83.00 lower earlier to 83.75 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram above 0 line, RSI 65.80 & rising (OB zone), H1 ATR 0.139, Daily ATR 0.9450. Open / Comment