2021-05-10 08:13:18
Vantage FX Market Outlook for 10th May 2021
#Risk sentiment is slightly more risk on even with worse than expected non farm payroll results. Asian stocks and U.S. equity futures gained Monday after the S&P 500 hit a record on weak jobs data that added to the case for ongoing stimulus. Dollar held losses after tumbling Friday, while the pound was the top performer among the Group of 8 currencies. Treasury yields edged up about 1.6%. Steel prices increased as rampant chinese demand caused a wider surge in commodity prices as the global economy recovers.
#DXY Dollar index held at 90.223 in early trade Monday, following its worst week since November 2020 in a reaction to a payroll report that showed the US economy only added 266,000 jobs in April, well below expectations of almost one million amid an escalating shortage of available workers. Dow Jones and S&P finished at record level Friday as a disappointing payroll report eased worries about the Federal Reserve reducing its massive support anytime soon. Dollar might continue to experience losses as bad nonfarm payroll results shows a weak USD against other currencies and therefore a selloff is expected.
#Gold Gold prices extend its rally, trading near a 3-month high, buoyed by the Dollar’s weakness following a disappointing payroll report. Elsewhere, bullion benefited from safe-haven demand stemming from the ongoing coronavirus crises as infection rates continue to accelerate in India and Japan. Looking ahead, Gold prices could edge higher, buoyed by rising number of coronavirus cases and concerns of rising inflationary pressure as the precious metal is often seen as a hedge against inflation. Meanwhile, disappointing payroll report raised doubts over the market recovery and cemented expectations that the US central bank will remain ultra-accommodative until the economy has further recovered, which could buoy demand for the safe haven asset.
#CrudeOil #Oil Oil prices dropped overnight before paring its losses by the end of Friday’s trading session. Despite the growing cases of virus cases over in Asia, and with the situation in India getting worse, the US and UK are starting to see domestic travel rising. Coupled with reports that one of Syria’s major oil refineries has been hit with a major fire outbreak, we can expect to see oil prices rise higher. WTI opened higher by 1.2%, whilst BRENT opened higher by 0.7% at the start of the Asian trading session.
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