2023-11-14 10:25:39
Arthur Hayes Insists Bitcoin Has 'Proven to Outperform Bonds During Times of War'
On Thursday, Arthur Hayes explained the precarious balance the Treasury’s Janet Yellen must strike in managing U.S. fiscal health amid rising government deficits. Hayes describes Yellen’s strategic options, including liquidity injections and manipulating Federal Reserve rate expectations, to manage economic growth and government funding. “Inject liquidity into the system so that stocks rise. When stocks pump, capital gains taxes rise, which helps pay some bills,” Hayes detailed in his latest missive called “Bad Gurl.”
Hayes speaks to the rising yields on long-term U.S. debt and the market’s negative response to Treasury strategies. He presents the “bear steepener” scenario as a challenge to financial stability, explaining, “Yields on long-end treasury debt are rising faster than short-end yields,” which could undermine banking solvency. Hayes’ previous work, “The Periphery,” delves into why this steepening is particularly toxic for the banking system. In his analysis, Hayes points out the global reverberations of U.S. monetary policy, suggesting that other central banks will engage in similar quantitative easing tactics. “All other major central banks … will also print money,” he asserts, viewing it as an inevitable response to the Fed’s easing, creating a global ripple of fiscal expansion that may redefine the international monetary balance.
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