Investor's sight: Stocks, Crypto, NFT

2022-04-10 19:03:00 ​4 basic principles of investing
#Fundamentals

◈ Use only free money

Never use for investment the money that you need to support your family and maintain your usual lifestyle.

◈ Have an investment plan

Your investments should not be spontaneous (a friend called, promised "mountains of gold"). Investments need to be analyzed from various points of view and choose the most optimal for you.

◈ Diversification

In other words, the distribution of investments in various directions. It is not very reasonable to break the investment amount into five parts and put them in five different banks. An example of a correct one would be the distribution of funds between various assets: different stocks, cryptocurrencies, as well as bonds and real estate, well, if the budget allows.


◈ Don't spend what you earn

You invest free money not to spend it in a month.
Reinvestment is the key to increasing capital.

Invest following these principles and you will be fine. Open / Comment

2022-04-09 19:03:00 Snoop Dogg continues to dazzle in Web 3.0:
#Notice

He has already released a video in Sandbox for the track "House I Built", announced a collaboration with Clay Nation - the developers of clay NFTs, the rapper also presented himself in the image of the superhero SUPERCUZZ and became a criminal in Call of Duty, dodging from SWAT bullets in a dance. Open / Comment

2022-04-08 19:03:00 5 Crypto Investor Mistakes [Part 2]

First part.

◈ Do not follow trends

• Axie → STEPN
• DOGE → Shiba Inu
• ETH → Solana/Luna/Avalanche
• Cryptopunks → BAYC

The one who discovered the trend first earns the most.

◈ Do not follow microtrends

Microtrends change very often in the crypto market. It is important not to get hung up and not "fall in love" with a particular coin/niche.

If EOS is dead, then it is dead, don't touch it.

◈ Do not pay attention to "slippage"

When exchanging shieldcoins for DEX, very often you can overpay by 5-20% due to slippage.

Causes:
• low liquidity
• very volatile coin
• low volumes

On the DEX, slippage can be set manually. On Pancake the default is 0.5%. So if you pay $100 for token A, you will get $99.5 in token A.

◈ Ignore non-permanent losses

Intermittent losses occur when you farm 2 tokens in an LP pair, such as BNB-CAKE.

This knowledge has saved us thousands of dollars.

◈ Do not follow the market phase

The market is an organism that has periods of euphoria, accumulation and decline.

Main market sentiment indicators:
• time before halving
• alt season and BTC market share
• fear index
• capitalization of the crypto market. Open / Comment

2022-04-06 19:03:00 ​ GameStop soared 22% on news on the creation of a NFT division
#Cases

Shares of a "dying" video game retailer GameStop in 2021 showed an increase in 3000%, but the company's sales continued decline steadily. Now GameStop enters a new market for NFT products with great growth potential.

Shares of the American retailer GameStop after the end of the main trading soared by 22.68% to $160.75 per security.

However, this did not save GameStop from a weak quarterly report. Net loss of the company for the third quarter of 2021 grew to $105.4 million, or $1.39 per share, compared to a loss of $18.8 million, or $0.29 per share for the third quarter of 2020.

Revenue for the quarter was $1.297 billion and increased by 29.05% year on year. By according to the retailer, revenue growth was associated with the recent partnership with Samsung, LG, Razer and Vizio. Open / Comment

2022-04-05 19:03:00 ​ Alibaba #BABA
#Fundamentals

Overall results for the last quarter:
Capitalization: 318.8 billion
TTM Revenue: 38.07B(+12%)
EBITDA: 8.1B(+8%)
Profit: 7B(-25%)
P/E 2021: 30, fwd p/e 2022: 13-15
P/B: 2

Revenue segments:
Trade in China: 71%
International trade: 7%
Cloud Computing: 8%
Local consumer services: 5%
Cainiao logistics services: 5%
Other: 4%

The report is rather neutral. Fiscal 3Q 2022 revenue rose 12% YoY to 38.07B. At the same time, profit decreased by 25%.

Pros and cons:

◈ The company continues to grow and there are no good reasons to stop growth yet. However, the current situation in the world is a risk for the Chinese market, since any economic aggravation of China with the US or a weakening of the dollar can cause a crisis in China. Produced goods can rise in price in $ and this will form a whole chain of problems. However, at the moment everything is fine.

◈ Cloud computing is one of the fastest growing segments of the company. It grew by 20%, bringing in 8% of the brand's total revenue to date. Alibaba predicts that the cloud market in China will grow 5 times, to 1 trillion yuan ($160B) by 2025. The segment will allow the company to diversify its business.

Moreover, this segment posted a positive EBITDA (+134 million yuan in 4Q2021 / $21 million), with a margin of 1%. If profitability increases to 20%, which is not much, the annual EBITDA of the segment will already be estimated at $160m, and if the market grows 5 times, then about $800m.

On March 22, Alibaba management announced a 60% increase in the buyback program from $15B to $25B. The program will be valid until March 2024, which will support quotes.

◈ The growth of expenses to income negatively affects the company in recent years. TTM's net margin is 15%, up from 20% a year ago and 26% 5 years ago. The operating margin is 11% versus 12% and 30% respectively. Such a drop in profitability is a negative for the company.

The drop in brand performance is largely due to the need to hold the market. Alibaba controls about 80% of the e-commerce market in China. The share is not growing, but new competitors are emerging, such as Tencent Holdings. Foreign markets still bring only 7% of revenue, as the share of foreign giants is large.

The company was fined the previous year, causing serious damage to profits.

China's unpredictable private sector policy is a major risk for Chinese companies. We all remember the TAL example.

Conclusion:

Ahead of the annual report, however, most likely, despite the growth in revenue, other indicators will not be record-breaking. The company's FWD P/E 2022 was 13-15 with a high degree of probability, but it suggests a quite fair assessment.

Not an individual investment recommendation Open / Comment

2022-04-05 01:03:00 ​UK plans to create a global hub of crypto assets
#Notice

◈ Stablecoins will be included in the regulation and will be recognized as a form of payment;
◈ The government will create a sandbox to test the digital financial market infrastructure. This will allow firms to apply cryptocurrency "innovations".
◈ Explore ways to improve the competitiveness of the UK tax system to encourage further development of the crypto asset market.

The UK Mint is also planning to release NFTs in the summer.

“I am committed to making the UK a global technology hub for crypto assets and the measures we outlined today will help ensure that companies can invest, innovate and scale in this country,” said Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak. Open / Comment

2022-04-03 19:03:00 Top 4 stocks for the growing US market
#Cases

The US stock market is showing signs of recovery after almost two and a half months of a downtrend. Experts evaluate the shares of the companies below at the level of "confident purchase" and "purchase". Moreover, these companies regularly pay dividends:

◈ Occidental Petroleum $OXY

The representative of the oil and gas sector continues to increase the volume of hydrocarbon production, as well as reduce debt due to proceeds from the sale of non-core assets. The acquisition of Anadarko, investments in infrastructure strengthening and the company's influence in the Permian Basin are helping to boost its productivity.

◈ Devon Energy $DVN

Devon Energy, an oil and natural gas exploration company, is committed to high levels of black gold production in the Delaware Basin. To reduce costs, the company uses the latest technology in the production process. In addition, Devon Energy's presence in Delaware has expanded through a merger with WPX Energy.

The sale of the company's shale gas assets in Canada and the Barnett field in Texas allowed it to focus on developing its other oil assets in the US basins. DVN's stable free cash flow allows it to pay dividends and buy back shares. Devon Energy has sufficient liquidity to meet short-term debt obligations.

◈ Micron Technology $MU

Semiconductor manufacturer Micron Technology is showing increased demand for memory chips from cloud computing vendors. The company's growth factors are also the continued adoption of 5G, increased customer engagement and improved cost structure.

◈ Target $TGT

Major U.S. retailer Target is committing resources to expand omnichannel experiences, create new brands and renovate stores. The company is making numerous changes to its business model to adapt and stay relevant in the ever-changing retail landscape.

In the fourth quarter of 2021, Target's like-for-like sales grew for 19 consecutive quarters, gaining strength in both physical stores and online commerce. In addition, revenue is expected to increase from low to mid single digits in 2022, with operating margins up to 8%. Open / Comment

2022-04-02 19:03:00 ​"Time bomb actions". Expert predicted Cathie Wood fund collapse
#Notice

Since the beginning of 2022, the Cathie Wood fund have lost 15.1%, closing January 14 at $80.24 per share. From historical maximum of $159.7 per share, reached on February 16 last year, the fund lost almost half the cost falling by 49.75%.

Valuations of companies from the #ARK Innovation are extremely bloated and could be a ticking time bomb actions when in these sectors correction will begin.

What are your thoughts on ARK Innovation future? Open / Comment

2022-03-31 19:03:00 ​ Zoom Video Communications #ZM
#Cases

Term - from 1 year
Potential return - 113%

◈ Description of the business and its prospects

Zoom Video Communications, Inc. is engaged in providing a communication platform for video. The company connects people with easy-to-use video, voice, chat, and content sharing, and provides face-to-face video calling to thousands of people in the same meeting across multiple devices and locations. The company was founded by Eric S. Yuan in 2011 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

◈ Technical analysis comments

ZM papers are being squeezed to a strong support level as part of a downtrend. In addition, the paper is quite heavily oversold. The $100-$110 price level is great for long-term buying.

◈ Fundamental analysis

For the 4th quarter of 2021, the company received the following results: revenue was $1,071 million, which is 21.4% more than a year earlier. GAAP net income was $261 million, or $0.91 per share, compared to $15.3 million and $0.06 per share in the fourth quarter of 2020. The company, providing video communications during a pandemic, has grown significantly in 2021. The company's shares are trading at a discount, due to a somewhat vague outlook. We can expect Zoom to expand its product line and introduce new services and devices, but so far these are just unconfirmed opportunities.

The company's multipliers also look quite interesting. The company trades at 10 annual revenues. P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples are 32.1 and 34.5, respectively. Compared to the sector and competitors, Zoom looks a lot cheaper, especially given that the company is consistently profitable. The company manages its debt perfectly, liquidity indicators are at an optimal level. In addition, net profit margin is 33.6%, which is quite high for IT companies.

The essence of the idea
The idea is long-term in nature, stop loss is not set for this idea. The company's papers can actively start to grow with a new round of the business cycle. The targets for this idea are at the $140, $160, $210 and $250 levels. Open / Comment

2022-03-30 19:03:00 ​ Opera browser added support for 8 blockchains including Bitcoin, Solana and Matic

Opera users get access to blockchains and decentralized applications (dapps) and services on eight different blockchains: Solana, Polygon, StarkEx/Deversifi Layer 2 and Bitcoin, as well as IXO, Ronin, Nervos and Celo. Open / Comment