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2023-01-18 12:52:43 https://www.instagram.com/p/CnjU040s74Q/
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2023-01-18 12:30:27 #Netflix earnings ahead

The latest Seasonal Insights with the Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

At one point in 2022, Netflix was down -75% from its all time high, but this fall also brought in dip buyers picking up Netflix at cheaper prices. One of the key reasons for Netflix’s fall last year was the decline in subscriber numbers. So, with earnings out on Thursday expect subscriber numbers to be a major focus again.

However, Netflix has a number of other challenges including growing subscription TV competition from Disney+, Apple TV, Amazon Prime, HBO, and others. Netflix also tried to increase subscriptions by offering a ‘with ads subscription service’. Was this to counter the cost of living rise consumers are facing? Will it work?

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2023-01-18 11:43:47 What to expect from the Fed?

What to expect from the Fed on the 1st of February? The Fed should be about to pivot and it seems to be a question of ‘when’ and not ‘if’. In the last dot plot, the Federal Reserve stated that there would be no rate cuts in all of 2023.

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2023-01-17 12:14:56 Where next for gold?

Last week saw gold taking another rally higher on further relief/confirmation that US inflation has peaked. The US CPI headline print was in line with the consensus of 6.5% and the core was too at 5.7%. These readings were also both down, lower from the prior, and the market continued to sell the USD after these prints even though they had been anticipated.

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2023-01-13 13:53:37 Time to back Buffet?

Keep up-to-date with the most recent Seasonal Insights with Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

Berkshire Hathaway is an American multinational company owned by renowned investor Warren Buffet. The company has over $900 billion in assets and Warren Buffet is often sought after for his stock-buying advice. So, in these uncertain times, does it make sense to buy into Berkshire Hathaway stock and benefit from Buffet’s trading style?

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2023-01-13 13:44:55 :balloon: Inflation fades
This week started with a continuation of USD weakness on the expectations that headline and core US inflation would be falling lower. Thursday’s US CPI print was as expected, but the market had a dovish reaction to the print. This increased STIR market’s probability to 92% of a smaller 25bps hike at the Fed’s next meeting in February. It looks like the market is starting to price in an even wider discrepancy between its own pricing and the Fed. Remember, the Fed’s latest dot plot still sees no rate cuts this year, but STIR markets now see two rate cuts. So, watch out for further volatility moving forward as the path of US rates remains uncertain.

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2023-01-12 16:02:09 What’s next for the SNB and the CHF?

What’s next for the SNB and the CHF? In December’s meeting, the SNB hiked rates by 50bps as expected to 1%. The SNB like central banks around the world has been responding to an uptick in its inflationary pressures. The latest headline inflation print for Switzerland is at 2.8% for December and that is well down from the August peak of 3.5%.

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2023-01-11 17:33:06 Time to back health care?

Don't miss valuable insights on Cardinal Health with Chief Market Analyst Kevin Murph

The 14th highest revenue-generating company in the US is Cardinal Health. The company has a wide range of health care services and health care as a sector can often be well place to ride out a recession. Why? This is because health matters are often prioritised when it comes to the spending habits of consumers. With the US expected to fall into a recession shortly is Cardinal Health worth backing? With over 50% gains in the last 6 months can those gains continue?

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2023-01-10 16:55:12 All in for #Alibaba?

Don't miss the latest Seasonal Insights with the Chief Market Analyst Kevin oghlan

Some investors have been cautious about investing in China’s tech stocks. However, recent comments from the party secretary of the People’s Bank of China that the tech sector’s heavy clampdown is coming to an end have given investors some confidence to move back into tech shares. This has led to Alibaba shares taking out the 100 EMA level on the weekly chart and they could potentially move even higher in line with China reversing many of its hard Covid lockdown rules.

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2023-01-10 13:57:19 The USD opportunity to be aware of

There is a discrepancy between the market and the Fed that provides a potential opportunity and it can impact the USD. In brief, the Fed projected no Fed rate cuts this year in its December meeting. However, STIR markets are seeing the Fed making two rate cuts by the end of 2023.

This has impacted the market’s positioning on the USD with hedge funds increasing their USD short bets in the last CFTC report. Asset managers are now below the 20 percentile for their short positioning showing they are heavily skewed one way. This is helpful knowledge if they have to suddenly make a shift.

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*73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider
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